How to analyze Tesla stock chart: a beginner guide to indicators, charts, and trading strategies

TopForex.Trade
5 min readOct 20, 2024

--

Tesla, one of the market’s most dynamic and volatile stocks, presents unique opportunities for traders and investors alike. But how do you effectively analyze Tesla’s stock performance, spot trends, and make strategic trading decisions? This comprehensive guide will dive deep into essential technical indicators such as EMA, Bollinger Bands, RSI, and volume analysis. We’ll also explore chart techniques that help you understand Tesla’s price movements and expert trading strategies you can use to maximize potential gains or minimize losses. Finally, we’ll introduce you to some top brokers where you can easily trade Tesla stock with advanced tools and resources.

A detailed Tesla stock chart analysis

This real chart of Tesla’s stock is taken from the Investing.com website. Below, I will provide a beginner-friendly guide on how to analyze this chart, considering various technical indicators. Keep in mind that this is not financial advice but simply a guide to help you understand the tools used in technical analysis.

Time period and candlestick patterns of Tesla stock chart

  • Timeframe: The chart is based on a 1-Month (1M) timeframe. Each candlestick represents one month’s worth of price action. In long-term trading, a monthly chart is crucial for identifying long-term trends, reversals, and price consolidation patterns.
  • Candlestick patterns: Green candlesticks show months when Tesla’s stock price closed higher than it opened, while red candlesticks show months when the price closed lower. The body of each candle shows the opening and closing price, while the wicks (or shadows) indicate the highest and lowest prices during the month.

For newcomers: Understanding Japanese candlestick charts: basic figures and main patterns

Detailed analysis indicator of Tesla stock chart

1. Exponential Moving Average (EMA 9)

  • Color: Red line on the chart.
  • Purpose: EMA tracks the stock’s average price over the last 9 periods (months, in this case) and assigns more weight to recent prices. This makes it a useful indicator for gauging short-term trends.
  • What it shows: The current price is slightly above the EMA (currently at around $218). When the price is above the EMA, it typically signals a bullish trend — meaning the stock is gaining momentum. If the price falls below the EMA, it would signal a bearish trend. In this case, the stock appears to be slightly bullish in the short term.

2. Bollinger Bands (BB 20, 2)

  • Color: Blue bands and a red middle line (which is the 20-period moving average).
  • Purpose: Bollinger Bands measure volatility by showing how far the price deviates from its average. The bands consist of an upper band, a lower band, and a middle-moving average line. The upper and lower bands are placed two standard deviations away from the moving average, which makes them sensitive to market volatility.
  • What it shows:
    1. Upper band (around $281): The current price is near this level, suggesting that the stock is in a potentially overbought zone. A price near the upper band can signal that the stock might be due for a pullback or price correction.
    2. Middle band (around $218): This is the 20-period moving average. The stock is slightly above this line, which supports the short-term bullish case.
    3. Lower band (around $154): If the stock price reverses and moves downwards, the lower band might act as a support level, or a price where buyers may come in again.
  • Volatility: The bands are widening, meaning volatility is increasing. In volatile markets, prices can make larger, more dramatic moves. Wide bands usually accompany big price swings, while narrow bands indicate periods of low volatility.

3. Volume (20)

  • Color: Green and red bars.
  • Purpose: Volume represents the number of shares traded in a given period. The green bars indicate more buying activity, while the red bars represent more selling pressure. Higher volume indicates stronger conviction in the price movement, while lower volume suggests weaker sentiment.
  • What it shows: In recent months, the volume is moderate (about 851.55 million shares), which shows that while there’s some buying interest, it is not overwhelmingly strong. Large price movements without significant volume can signal a lack of market conviction, meaning the trend might not sustain itself for long.

4. Relative Strength Index (RSI 14)

  • Color: Purple line.
  • Purpose: The RSI measures momentum on a scale from 0 to 100. A reading above 70 is considered overbought (indicating that the stock might soon see a downward correction), while a reading below 30 is considered oversold (indicating that the stock might be due for a bounce back up).
  • What it shows: The RSI is around 50.15, which is neutral. This suggests that there’s no significant buying or selling momentum right now. The stock isn’t overbought or oversold, which often implies sideways trading or a period of consolidation before a more significant move.

Trend analysis of Tesla stock chart

  • Trend: The chart shows a mild bullish trend in the short term as the price is above both the EMA and the middle Bollinger Band. However, the RSI indicates neutral momentum, meaning the upward move isn’t very strong. It suggests that while the price may continue to rise, it’s likely to face resistance at the upper Bollinger Band.

→More about bulls and bears in the Forex market.

  • Reversal signals: If the stock fails to break above the upper Bollinger Band ($281) and the RSI starts falling, it could signal a price reversal. This would mean a return towards the middle band or even the lower band.

Momentum and volatility analysis of Tesla stock chart

  • Momentum: The RSI hovering around 50 means the stock has weak momentum. Neither buyers nor sellers are dominating the market at the moment. A break above 60 on the RSI would signal stronger bullish momentum, while a break below 40 would indicate increasing bearish momentum…

Continue reading:

Master Tesla stock analysis: key techniques, expert tips, and best FX brokers

--

--

TopForex.Trade
TopForex.Trade

Written by TopForex.Trade

https://topforex.trade Your guide to the world of finance and Forex suggesting only trusted brokers, trading tips and investment ideas

No responses yet